Fund Commentaries:
Quarterly Portfolio Review

Portfolio Review

Spring 2010



Portfolio Positioning
Performance Review
Long-Term Perspectives
Where We Are Finding Opportunities


Since our founding more than 40 years ago in 1969, Davis Advisors' mission as a firm has been to serve our shareholders and to do so with high integrity. Mindful of the enormous responsibility that comes with serving as a steward of others' capital, we are firmly committed to:

  • Investment excellence: Davis Advisors conducts rigorous fundamental research with the goal of producing solid long-term investment results for shareholders.
  • Sharing wisdom and perspectives about investor behavior: We strive to promote healthy investor behavior, which we firmly believe can positively influence the results that shareholders ultimately realize.
  • Open and honest communications: We seek to communicate with our shareholders in a manner that we would desire if our roles were reversed.

As a sign of our commitment to all those who have entrusted capital to us, the Davis family, Davis Advisors, employees, and directors have more than $2 billion of their own money invested side by side with fellow shareholders in the various mutual funds our firm manages.1


This report includes candid statements and observations regarding investment strategies, individual securities and economic and market conditions; however, there is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts will prove to be correct. Equity markets are volatile and an investor may lose money. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 1 As of December 31, 2009.




Portfolio Positioning2

Market conditions may vary from period to period, yet the core tenets of the Davis investment discipline and approach remain the same. We start with the premise that stocks represent fractional ownership in real businesses. We seek to purchase durable businesses at value prices and hold them for the long term. We believe that owning shares of well-managed businesses with attractive reinvestment rates, purchased at reasonable valuations and held for years to allow the power of compounding to work, is a reliable method for building capital over long investment horizons.

By definition, owning shares of companies for years or even decades means that some, perhaps all, of our investments will traverse rough patches along the way, whether they are specific to a company, an industry or the broader market. We know in advance that we are going to own businesses in periods of rising interest rates, falling interest rates, inflation, disinflation, a weak dollar, a strong dollar, and so forth. Therefore, when we think about purchasing shares of a company, we have to weigh carefully up front whether we think the business can withstand inevitable shocks in addition to considering the likelihood the business can grow earnings power (and therefore intrinsic worth) over full cycles. Then, company by company, we set out to build a durable, all-weather portfolio of businesses that can compound over the long term.

Our Portfolio holds three primary categories of investments:

  • Market leaders with strong balance sheets
  • "Out-of-the-spotlight" businesses
  • Headline risk or contrarian investments


Market leaders with strong balance sheets— In many cases these are global companies with universally known brands, earnings that are well diversified from the standpoint of product line and geography, and fortress balance sheets. At this time more than 85% of the Portfolio is invested in companies with market capitalizations in excess of $10 billion and combined revenues totaling more than $2.1 trillion.3 These businesses span a broad range of global industries from financial services to consumer products to technology to retailing, among others. They provide a core foundation of stability within the Portfolio and offer in our view a high probability of long-term sustainable returns through capital appreciation and dividends.

A representative market leader in the Portfolio is Berkshire Hathaway, a diversified holding company with a market capitalization of roughly $200 billion and interests in insurance, reinsurance, railroads, utilities, manufacturing, retailing, and a host of other business lines. Under the steady leadership of Warren Buffett and team the company has grown book value at more than 20% per year on average over the past four and a half decades, more than double the return of the S&P 500® Index over the same period. Given its increasing size, the company's prospective returns will likely be lower than its historical record, but we believe Berkshire Hathaway is well positioned through its operating businesses as well as its investment portfolio to increase earnings power considerably over the next five to 10 years.

Another example of a market leader and a relatively new addition to the Portfolio is Coca-Cola (Coke), the world's most valuable brand according to the marketing research organization Interbrand. As the largest global beverage company with more than twice the annual sales of its nearest competitor, Coke has an enviable and expanding portfolio of still and carbonated products that generates consistent growth. Tracing the company's progress in recent years, in 1997 the company owned five brands that each generated $1 billion or more in annual sales. Today the company has 13 billion-dollar brands and expects to have 30 by 2020. A large portion of this growth will likely be generated in developing and emerging economies where Coke is investing heavily. Already some 75% of current revenues are derived from international markets and Coke expects this growth to continue as more and more of the world's population joins the middle class.

Hewlett-Packard (HP), the world's largest information technology company, is a third representative market leader in the Portfolio. HP ranks among the top 10 Fortune 500 companies doing business in more than 170 countries and generating annual revenue of more than $114 billion. It offers an array of products to individuals and businesses including corporate technology consulting and software, enterprise servers and storage hardware, and is a leading provider of personal computers and printers. Under its capable CEO, Mark Hurd, the company has significantly reduced its cost base allowing HP to navigate the economic downturn with relative ease. HP is also in the process of fully integrating its 2008 acquisition of Electronic Data Systems (EDS), a leader in outsourced corporate computing and information consulting. We believe that HP is well positioned with the right culture and array of businesses to remain a leader in tomorrow's technologies.

Costco Wholesale, a membership-based retailer with more than 560 locations predominantly in North America, is also a market leader. Costco opened its first few warehouses in 1983, generating $101 million in sales (with a net start-up loss of $3.3 million) in its first year of operations and ending the year with 244,000 members. In fiscal year 2009, Costco generated sales of almost $70 billion and net income of more than $1 billion. It has more than 20 million individual members and more than 5 million business members whose annual fees collectively amount to more than $1.5 billion. Costco's key competitive advantages are threefold: First, the company is the low cost operator in an enormous market. Second, the company generates much of its earnings through membership fees, an income source not available to traditional retailers. And third, Costco's value proposition for members is virtually unique, with markups capped for the most part at 15%. This remarkable business model has enabled Costco to build its franchise value from $7.5 million in start-up capital to a market value in excess of $26 billion today, generating very solid returns for long-term shareholders along the way.

We believe market leaders such as Berkshire Hathaway, Coca-Cola, Hewlett-Packard, and Costco Wholesale that possess strong brands, proven management, fortress balance sheets, and scale advantages are well positioned to create significant value for long-term shareholders.

Out-of-the-spotlight businessesAfter market leaders, the next major category of investments in the Portfolio is out-of-the-spotlight businesses. These are lesser known companies with attractive economics that in our opinion should eventually command higher valuations. Their appeal may take time to gain recognition, often because these businesses are smaller or operate in a mundane non-consumer-oriented industry. Given the right leadership and attractive reinvestment rates, these low-profile holdings can provide the opportunity for the "double play" of expanding multiples on expanding earnings, which can turn a company with a solid earnings growth rate into a stellar investment. As a general rule, out-of-the-spotlight holdings tend to be boring but steady compounding machines.

An example of an out-of-the-spotlight holding is Sealed Air, one of the largest companies in the profitable yet mundane business of manufacturing an array of protective wraps and packaging used in the industrial, food and medical industries. Sealed Air's best-known products include Bubble Wrap and Jiffy mailers, although much of its protective packaging is sold directly to manufacturers and distributors who use it to protect such sensitive merchandise as personal computers from damage during transport. To help protect food, the company makes vacuum-sealed shrink wraps often used to safely seal meats as well as different types of cellophane packaging frequently found in the deli, meat and fresh produce sections of local grocery stores. What Sealed Air lacks in terms of household recognition, it more than makes up for with its favorable returns on invested capital in our opinion.

Out-of-the-spotlight holdings can also include hard asset-related businesses such as Canadian Natural Resources, an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with operations focused in Western Canada (including sizable reserves of oil sands), the North Sea and Offshore West Africa. Canadian Natural Resources has a strong track record of generating shareholder value and its managers and directors own more than $1.6 billion of the company's stock. The company stands to benefit in our view from disciplined growth of production as well as from the emergence of a global middle class whose energy consumption is likely to grow over time.

Headline risk or contrarian investments4 On a very selective basis we make contrarian investments. These often involve controversial situations where the market is discounting a company's share price to reflect a perception of risk that we think is greater than the probable economic risk to the business's long-term fundamentals. Typically a minor portion of our portfolios in percentage terms, headline risk investments can sometimes be difficult for clients to understand because they beg the question, "Don't you read the papers?" But it is precisely because so many other investors automatically sell companies with near-term challenges, however surmountable, that the potential for high returns exists in many such instances. Our job is to ferret out opportunities that represent favorable risk/reward trade-offs and do our best to avoid the value traps. We will not get every investment right. However, overall this distinctly contrarian element of our investment discipline has been an important contributor to our long-term success and can be an effective and repeatable way to capitalize on herd mentality in the market. As an example, uncertainty associated with health care reform in the United States has created opportunity in recent months. In 2009 we were able to purchase shares of several high-quality pharmaceutical businesses including Pfizer at what we believe were highly attractive valuations.

Overall, the investments we have made in the three categories described above combine to form a total portfolio that we believe is well diversified and offers a high probability of producing satisfactory compound returns over full market cycles.5

2 Individual securities are discussed in this piece. While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate. The return of a security to the Portfolio will vary based on weighting and timing of purchase. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 3 Source: Davis Advisors and Wilshire Atlas. 4 While we research companies subject to such contingencies, we cannot be correct every time, and a company's stock may never recover. 5 While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate. Equity markets are volatile and an investor may lose money.





Performance Review

For the trailing 12 month period ending March 31, 2010 the S&P 500® Index delivered very solid returns, finishing the period up 49.77%, and Selected American Shares outperformed the benchmark.6 Longer term the Fund has outperformed the Index over the trailing one, five, 10 and 15 year periods as well as since Davis Advisors began managing the Fund in 1993,6 a testament in our view to the effectiveness of the fundamentals-based Davis investment discipline through a variety of market and economic conditions.


Total Returns
as of 3/31/10
1
Year
5
Years
10
Years
15
Years
Since
5/1/93
Selected American
Shares Class S
57.35% 1.97% 1.79% 9.86% 9.62%
S&P 500® Index 49.77% 1.92% -0.65% 7.75% 8.01%

The performance presented represents past performance and is not a guarantee of future results. Total return assumes reinvestment of dividends and capital gain distributions. Investment return and principal value will vary so that, when redeemed, an investor's shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. The total annual operating expense ratio for Class S shares as of the most recent prospectus was 0.92%. The total annual operating expense ratio may vary in future years. Returns and expenses for other classes of shares will vary. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance quoted. For most recent month-end returns, click here or call 800-243-1575.


The Portfolio's results in the most recent 12 month period reflect strong performance among many individual holdings, particularly within the financials, energy, information technology, and consumer discretionary sectors. (Sector allocations are a by-product of bottom-up stock selection and generally represent a cross section of market leaders, out-of-the-spotlight holdings and headline risk investments. We refer to sector-level performance here merely to provide a general framework for understanding the Portfolio's aggregate performance in the most recent 12 month period.)

Our financial holdings represent a diversified set of industries and business types and reflect our conviction in individual companies. Our holdings in this sector include JPMorgan Chase (money center bank), Wells Fargo & Company (regional bank), Progressive (personal lines auto insurer), and holding companies like Berkshire Hathaway and Loews with significant interests in utilities and insurance among other businesses. Consistent with our overall investment approach, we are interested in owning what we believe are durable, best-in-class franchises with expert managements, robust balance sheets and favorable competitive positions.

Our energy-related holdings consist predominantly of oil and natural gas exploration and production companies that have historically earned above-average returns on capital versus their peers and that in our view are trading at reasonable normalized valuations. These companies include Canadian Natural Resources, Occidental Petroleum, EOG Resources, and Devon Energy. We believe our energy holdings are capable of creating value for shareholders under a variety of economic and market conditions through the disciplined allocation of capital. They also stand to benefit potentially from the long-term tailwinds of a growing global middle class and a veritable industrial revolution taking place within certain developing economies.

Information technology has been one of the best performing areas of the Portfolio and the market over the last 12 months. Our technology holdings predominantly include workhorse category leaders in chips, online search and software as well as printing, personal computing and IT infrastructure such as Texas Instruments, Google, Microsoft, and Hewlett-Packard. We believe these businesses stand a high probability of compounding earnings by generating relatively high returns on capital and enjoy significant competitive barriers to entry.

Consumer-related holdings in the Portfolio include such varied businesses as News Corporation (diversified media company), Costco Wholesale (warehouse-style retailer), Coca-Cola (largest global beverage company), and Procter & Gamble (global consumer products manufacturer). Our particular selection of consumer-related holdings reflects the characteristics we look for in any business: (1) proven management, (2) a strong, profitable business model and (3) sustainable competitive advantages. We seek to buy such businesses when they are trading at a discount to our assessment of their true economic worth based on future earnings power.

Regarding notable portfolio changes over the past year, we added select pharmaceutical and other businesses in the health care area to the Portfolio, initiated a position in Coca-Cola and sold our position in Comcast.

To provide our clients with timely information, we have discussed Portfolio results for the trailing 12 month period. However, our investment discipline is based on a much longer term view. We evaluate each investment in the Portfolio based on its potential to create value for our clients over multi-year holding periods. Through bottom-up stock selection and rigorous fundamental research, we aim to construct a total portfolio that we believe is well diversified and has a high probability of producing satisfactory compound returns over full market cycles.

6 Class S shares. Davis Advisors began managing the Fund on May 1, 1993. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.




Long-Term Perspectives

In our experience, one of the keys to building long-term wealth is to avoid making emotional investment decisions. The way in which emotions can undermine an investor's ability to build long-term wealth was evident in 2009 when cautious investors poured a record $375 billion into bond funds while pulling close to $10 billion out of stocks. As a result, many investors missed the market's 26% return in 2009.7 While such a reaction reflects human nature on the heels of a difficult decade for stocks, successful investors recognize the importance of remaining unemotional when making investment decisions.




Source: Investment Company Institute. Stocks and bonds represent different asset classes subject to different risks and rewards. Future economic events may favor one asset class over another.


Applying an unemotional, objective approach to today's market environment suggests that long-term investors would be well served adding to, or maintaining, their equity allocation over the next decade.8 Why? Because historically disappointing decades for stocks have been followed by periods of attractive returns. This is illustrated in the chart below, which shows the 10 year returns for the market from 1928-2009. Returns of at least 5% are represented by the green bars and returns of less than 5% are represented by the red bars. Here are a few key points:

  • From 1928 through 2009, there have been eleven 10 year periods where the market delivered disappointing returns of less than 5%.

  • In every case, the decade following these disappointing decades produced satisfactory returns. (For instance, the -0.2% average annual return from 1928-1937 was followed by a 9.3% average annual return from 1938-1947.) Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

  • These periods of recovery averaged 13% per year (ranging from a low of 7% to a high of 18%).



Ten Year Returns for the Market (1928-1963)

Ten Year Returns for the Market (1964-2009)

Source: Thompson Financial, Lipper and Bloomberg. Graph represents the S&P 500® Index from 1958 through 2009. Periods before 1958 are represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.


The fact that stocks have suffered through an awful decade is precisely why investors should be excited about their prospects for the next 10 years.8 Historically, it has been profitable to invest in the stock market after a period of poor returns. In our view, the coming decade should be no exception as many high-quality businesses are trading at very reasonable valuations today.8 Taking advantage of these opportunities, however, requires an unemotional, objective investment approach.

7 The market is represented by the S&P 500® Index. In 2009, the Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government/Credit Bond Index returned 1.92%. Stocks and bonds represent different asset classes subject to different risks and rewards. Bonds are considered to have less risk than equities. Future economic events may favor one asset class over another. 8 While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate. Equity markets are volatile and an investor may lose money.




Where We Are Finding Opportunities

There are always opportunities and risks. In our view the keys to outperforming the market over the next decade, as we have done since Davis Advisors began managing the Fund in 1993,9 are: (1) to think long term rather than get caught up in short-term cycles, (2) to exercise a highly selective and disciplined approach with respect to business quality and valuation, and (3) to remain focused on indepth, bottom-up research.

Today we are finding compelling values in many areas of the market that in our view represent attractive avenues for compounding shareholders' capital over the next decade. Most of these opportunities fit within the following long-term themes:

  • Globally dominant businesses—These industry leaders are characterized by strong pricing power, diversified earnings, healthy balance sheets, strong competitive moats, and durable business models. Because these businesses produce excess cash, they are not dependent on external funding.
  • Beneficiaries of crisis—Certain companies' business model, capital position and management discipline allow them to take advantage of chaos. Given strong free cash flow, these companies are often able to use distressed prices to make investments, acquisitions or significant share buybacks at accretive prices.
  • Select financial companies—Although the future is always uncertain, we believe that the financial services industry is not prone to obsolescence. People should always need basic banking services, insurance products, investment management advice, and other such services. Nonetheless, it is necessary to differentiate between strong and weak players in order to invest successfully in this area of the market.
  • Energy, commodities and agriculture businesses—Well-managed companies in these areas are positioned to benefit from the inexorable long-term growth of a global middle class, which will result in increasing demand and potentially higher prices for most natural resources.
  • Select special situations—These are highly opportunistic companies in diverse industries trading at steep discounts to intrinsic worth that may prove to be exceptional long-term investments in our view.

All of us at Davis Advisors thank you for your support. We are grateful and fortunate to have your confidence and will continue to work hard on your behalf. We look forward to continuing our investment journey together. ■

9 Class S shares. Inception was 5/1/93. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.


Audio Webcast:
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DAVIS DISTRIBUTORS, LLC
2949 East Elvira Road, Suite 101
Tucson, AZ 85756
1-800-243-1575





This report is authorized for use by existing shareholders. A current Selected Funds prospectus must accompany or precede this material if it is distributed to prospective shareholders. You should carefully consider the Fund's investment objectives, risks, fees, and expenses before investing. Read the prospectus carefully before you invest or send money.

This report includes candid statements and observations regarding investment strategies, individual securities, economic and market conditions; however, there is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts will prove to be correct. These comments may also include the expression of opinions that are speculative in nature and should not be relied on as statements of fact.

Selected American Shares' investment objective is capital growth and income. In the current market environment, we expect that income will be low. There can be no assurance that the Fund will achieve its objective. Selected American Shares invests primarily in equity securities issued by large companies with market capitalizations of at least $10 billion. Some important risks of an investment in the Fund are: market risk: the market value of shares of common stock can change rapidly and unpredictably; company risk: the market value of a common stock varies with the success or failure of the company issuing the stock; financial services risk: investing a significant portion of assets in the financial services sector may cause a fund to be more volatile as securities within the financial services sector are more prone to regulatory action in the financial services industry, more sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and are the target of increased competition; and foreign country risk: companies operating, incorporated or principally traded in foreign countries may have more fluctuation as foreign economies may not be as strong or diversified, foreign political systems may not be as stable and foreign financial reporting standards may not be as rigorous as they are in the United States. As of March 31, 2010, Selected American Shares had approximately 16.4% of assets invested in foreign companies. See the prospectus for a complete listing of the principal risks.

Davis Advisors is committed to communicating with our investment partners as candidly as possible because we believe our investors benefit from understanding our investment philosophy and approach. Our views and opinions regarding the investment prospects of our portfolio holdings include "forward looking statements" which may or may not be accurate over the long term. While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate. These opinions are current as of the date of this piece but are subject to change. Market values will vary so that an investor may experience a gain or a loss. The information provided in this material should not be considered a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any particular security. As of March 31, 2010, Selected American Shares had invested the following percentages of its assets in the companies listed: Berkshire Hathaway, 4.50%; Canadian Natural Resources, 2.19%; Coca-Cola, 0.68%; Costco Wholesale, 4.28%; Devon Energy, 2.78%; EOG Resources, 3.32%; Google, 0.88%; Hewlett-Packard, 1.60%; JPMorgan Chase, 1.47%; Loews, 2.60%; Microsoft, 1.89%; News Corporation, 0.80%; Occidental Petroleum, 4.67%; Pfizer, 1.75%; Procter & Gamble, 1.50%; Progressive, 2.25%; Sealed Air, 2.31%; Texas Instruments, 1.40%; Wells Fargo & Company, 4.79%.

Selected Funds has adopted a Portfolio Holdings Disclosure policy that governs the release of non-public portfolio holding information. This policy is described in detail in the prospectus. Click here or call 800-243-1575 for the most current public portfolio holdings information.

Davis Selected Advisers, L.P., began managing Selected American Shares on May 1, 1993. Prior to that date, the Fund was managed by a different investment advisor.

Broker-dealers and other financial intermediaries may charge Davis Advisors substantial fees for selling its products and providing continuing support to clients and shareholders. For example, broker-dealers and other financial intermediaries may charge: sales commissions; distribution and service fees; and record-keeping fees. In addition, payments or reimbursements may be requested for: marketing support concerning Davis Advisors' products; placement on a list of offered products; access to sales meetings, sales representatives and management representatives; and participation in conferences or seminars, sales or training programs for invited registered representatives and other employees, client and investor events, and other dealer-sponsored events. Financial advisors should not consider Davis Advisors' payment(s) to a financial intermediary as a basis for recommending Davis Advisors.

The net expense ratio for Selected American Shares Class S for the fiscal period ended December 31, 2009 was 0.94% and 0.61% for Class S and D, respectively.

Effective July 1, 2009, Davis Advisors voluntarily and permanently reduced any management fee breakpoints ABOVE 0.55% to 0.55% for Selected American Shares.

Over the last five years, the high and low turnover ratio for Selected American Shares was 18% and 4%, respectively.

We gather our index data from a combination of reputable sources, including, but not limited to, Thomson Financial, Lipper and index websites.

The S&P 500® Index is an unmanaged index of 500 selected common stocks, most of which are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The Index is adjusted for dividends, weighted towards stocks with large market capitalizations and represents approximately two-thirds of the total market value of all domestic common stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue chip stocks. The Dow Jones is calculated by adding the closing prices of the component stocks and using a divisor that is adjusted for splits and stock dividends equal to 10% or more of the market value of an issue as well as substitutions and mergers. The average is quoted in points, not in dollars. The Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government/Credit Float Adjusted Index is a market-weighted bond index that includes investment-grade bonds with a dollar-weighted average maturity of 15 to 30 years. Investments cannot be made directly in an index.

After July 31, 2010, this material must be accompanied by a supplement containing performance data for the most recent quarter end.

Shares of the Selected Funds are not deposits or obligations of any bank, are not guaranteed by any bank, are not insured by the FDIC or any other agency, and involve investment risks, including possible loss of the principal amount invested.

Item #4766 3/10 Davis Distributors, LLC, 2949 East Elvira Road, Suite 101, Tucson, AZ 85756, 800-243-1575, selectedfunds.com

 














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